Tom Aspinall’s Free Title Defense! UFC 321 Predictions And Breakdowns
Monday is here. That means we have a new week of predictions upon us. This week we have a heavyweight title fight. Tom Astronol versus Infinite title shot gone. UFC 321. This will be happening on October 25th in Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi. Quite ridiculous looking at all three of the different banners that we’ve had for Sirrogon title shots since UFC 270 against Francis Singanu. It’s also even funnier to think about how Gan rebounded from his loss against Francisanu with Taiu Ivasa after getting an interim title from beating Derrick Lewis before the fight. He was attempting to unify against Francisanu who wrestled him because his knee was shredded in that one. If that’s any indicator of how this goes. I mean, I just saw a video of Sir Gan getting wrestled by Nasser and I still going to break down all of this. Anyways, this is kind of like the no-brainer main event pick. I’ll have no words if Tom Aspenol somehow bottles this. We’re going to start with the prelims. This is this was such a funny like iteration of Omali in Abu Dhabi wearing like the Arabic garments and the gold chains and the clout goggles. Make sure to like, comment, and subscribe before we get into these picks. Right now, too, we’re going to get started with the premium opener right now, which is Jaclyn Amore versus Mizaki. Anyway, I can’t take one more stinky WMA like numbered card opener or fight night opener, dude. Like I’m it’s it’s too much. I remember there was a point that we would at least be able to get a heavyweight fight that would end in first round KO like the one from Australia that used to be our standard. I mean I guess if they are going to put WMA fights anywhere on a card and make sure that is the opener so that we’re not stuck watching a really bad fight as we’re getting more finishes and more momentum towards like the middle of the prelims. But I have no expectations for this. Coten versus Liz Boa last week was like it was ironic. It was fun to like like to like meme on, bro. Ended up getting kind of turned like towards the end of the fight whenever there was a finish in the third round, but the best thing that we could hope for here is going to be a round one submission from Jaclyn Morum. Mizuki, she’s a Reebok era fighter. Like that’s a Reebok fight kid. And she’s only fought twice since 2019 cuz she tore her knee after she lost a fight against Amanda Limos and then she came back in 2023 and she beat Hannah Goldie, the OF demon. So, I mean, she’s just been on hiatus ever since. This is like a 25 month layoff for her. Jacqueline Amore, she’s been more active in this division since 2023, which was the last time that music competed. Jaclyn Mor has strung together four wins, two of which were round one submissions. As a matter of fact, all four of Jaclyn’s wins have been finishes in the UFC. So, her only loss came to Sam Hughes, which again, Sam Hughes is kind of a dog. After the Paris card, I’m not sleeping on her anymore. I don’t know, you guys. I I kind of don’t want to pick the 15 and six WMA fighter who’s been fighting once every 8 million years to win against the girl who’s at least been making appearances in the octagon more often. I don’t know who do I select here. The two women that Jacqueline Amore got her round one submissions. They were both armbars over going to be Vanessa Debopulus and Cory McKinna. So, I mean, not the highest level of competition, but I’m not assuming that Mizuki anyway is going to be anything more substantial. I mean, I guess her boxing is not bad, but I still think that she would get submitted by Jaclyn Mor in the first round. For my sake, she needs to because I just do not want to spend a lot of time watching this fight, mate. So, I’m going to go ahead and select Amor to win via round one submission. We’re going to talk about the next fight. Next, we have Azat Maxim versus Mitroposa at Flyweight. This is what I’m talking about right here. I made a video talking about the best mountain fighters and I put Oz Maxim on this list and I said, dude, like they just need to stop making him fight with dudes who are better than him right now so he can develop. I don’t know why they do this with certain flyweights, dude. Like they kind of believe in they just they damn them to fate of just losing fights instead of building them up through this type of matchmaking. I saw Maxim pulled up and fought Charles Johnson immediately and then he fought with Tiger Ulan Beckov. Like what? They did not want to see this man winning. He’s just now getting I’m not even going to call this on level matchmaking because I Zach Maxim is better than Mitch Raposo, but it’s a winnable fight. This is the first time that he’s gotten a winnable fight in three different scheduled matches in the UFC. Rapos lost consecutive fights to Sumadeji where he looked absolutely horrible and then Andre Lima where I mean he put up even a better fight against Andre Lima but in the Sumarji fight this guy threw like two strikes per round and then he would get takedowns at certain points of the different rounds and then he would just abandon position and let Sumarji get back up on the feet and like Sumji wasn’t even doing all too much either but he at least had some level of output and Metropos was just getting just jabbed. This type of wrestling is not going to do anything against his maximum. It’s it won’t stop his maximum from getting going on the feet. It won’t stop his maximum from scrambling and then getting better positions himself to dominate the fight on the ground. Wherever it goes, I think his maximum is better than Metroposo. So, I’m going to hang my hat on that. I don’t think this fight will even make it to the floor because Metropos is going to be getting laced on the feet. You know, with like Beex Alman, they gave him Umar Magamed off and then he loses that fight and they give him Brad Katona and he like suns that guy and knocks him out super fast. This is not Maxim’s very own Brad Katona. I think he’s going to win be a round one KO here. So, that’s what I’m going to select. Maxim be a round one KO. Let’s talk about the next one. Chris Barnett versus Hamdy Abdulwahab at heavyweight. I can’t rally behind Barnett even more even as a meme, dude. 59 heavyweight. This guy does not take care of his body. His physique is not good. He has cardio issues. He’s hurting himself on walkouts. This guy is jumping during his introduction and like blowing his knees out. There’s too many injuries paired with too little activity. At heavyweight, he’s only really had flashes in the pan like wheel kick knockouts over Gon Volante and then a knockout over Jake Collier. And both of those guys, I don’t even think are in the UFC anymore. Kennedy and Zeticu in his last fight got a free one against Chris Barnett since again Barnett, he had injured himself in the walk out. There’s no telling whether or not the same thing will happen again. Maybe he’ll focus up and actually let the fight start before anything catastrophic happens. But Hamd of Double Hab, for what it’s worth, he narrowly lost to a guy who was confirmed to be on steroids in his last outing. And he looked bad, but I mean, it seemed like he did have the cardio to make it 15 minutes because he did make it 15 minutes. One of his best weapons in the fight against Mo Usman was going to be his low kick, but I think that he’ll find success with that in a fight against Chris Barnett, who is coming off of a knee injury. It really just comes down to both of these guys not being very good. Hamdahab is not like this animal, right? But his body isn’t breaking down and he has more of a frame for heavyweight. Chris Barnett is an undisiplined lightweight fighter. Like 5’9 at heavyweight, man. Like mistakes were made. This is Hamdahab’s third fight this year as well. So I mean good on him for activity. I think that he won’t be battling ring rust and that’ll make a difference here in a fight against Barnett. This matchup will be good for the memes, but that’s about it. I think that Hamdhab is either going to finish here or he’s going to clinch to a decision. So, I will actually take Hi Abdulhabia decision just to cover my tracks, but I’m not going to side with Chris Curtis, dude. I previewed this fight on one of my recaps of the Contender Series. Jose Miguel Delgado versus Nathaniel Wood. This is a very interesting fight here because what do you do with a fighter like Nathaniel Wood, who is solid, but he wins every single fight by decision. He’s not mustsea TV. What you do is you give him a finisher and you see if he can fight his fight so he doesn’t get scalped. or you give him a finisher so that he can’t play it safe and coast to a decision. He has to fight. But that’s the thing here is that Miguel Delgado hasn’t been tested to the point where I can be 100% certain that he will not allow Nathaniel Wood to employ a clinching and wrestling heavy game plan to get to a decision victory over himself. super risky to have one of these veteran decisionators fight with a guy who hasn’t been tested to this degree because it’s a possibility that the experience of the boring fighter will make it so that they will be able to win how they normally do which is just by stinking it up. Jose Miguel Delgado though has a lot going for him. He has youth on his side. He is off of two finishes, three if you want to count the contender series. What is kind of plateaued in his career? I mean, sure, he did beat Morgan Sherriier, but I mean, that wasn’t that wasn’t the highest level or even most memorable fight. Jose Miguel Delgado is here to knock this guy’s block off. This guy Nathaniel Wood is is 32 years old and he’s been in the UFC since 2018, and he still calls himself the prospect, which I mean, at 32, I guess you could still consider yourself one, especially if you’re beating prospects, but you got to be finishing them. Prospects get finishes, mate. I don’t make the rules here. Miguel Delgado is he’s a real one for knocking out Hydro Emil in like sub 30 seconds whenever they did fight. I didn’t see that one coming at all. Nathaniel Wood, the grappling, even though that’s how he’s subduing guys to win decisions, that is actually a pathway for you to win as displayed by Muhammad Nimov. He was able to beat Nathaniel Wood this way, just by clinching him up and and getting the fight to the ground and controlling him there. Miguel Delgado is on a KO streak, but Wood is going to be a hard opponent to finish. He could either chin him in the early going of this fight, which I’m going to predict will happen, or he’ll display more layers of his game by being able to outskill him to a decision, which would honestly probably be even better for his longevity in this division. If he could do something like that to Nathaniel Wood, but Nathaniel Wood is really no stranger to beating these up and cominging prospects. Morgan Sher, as I had mentioned before, and he also got Charles Jordan in 2022 whenever that was a little bit more meaningful. I will be riding with Jose Miguel Delgado here. I think that he will get the first round KO, but it’s one of these. Walter Walker versus Louis Sutherland. Rest in peace, Justin Taffa. Louis Sutherland. He should have debuted in Australia against one of the Taffa Bros, but Justin could not make 265, which is ridiculous. This is a cool fight for Walter Walker to beat another untested guy with a heel hook. He’s been making memes about it in every single one of his Instagram posts. I follow him there. This dude has a chain and there’s like a rubber human foot that he attaches as a pendant on the chain. This is a short notice match up that the promotion put together since Mo Usman is confirmed a cheater cheater pumpkin eater and the taffa man couldn’t make the heavyweight weight limit which is that honestly just makes me laugh to say out loud man. Sutherland is is a champion at some British promotion. That doesn’t indicate to me that he’s at a UFC level yet. Walter Walker has a very clear path to victory here through the wrestling against any heavyweight who hasn’t displayed a great ability to wrestle in past fights. Louis Sutherland does have the nuclear option, but it’s not like Walter Walker is going to be behind in terms of frame or physicality here. The only thing that Louis Sutherland really has going for him in this matchup is the fact that he’s never been submitted before. But, you know, it’s a first time for everything. So, I think it will be this time. I’m buying into the hype of Walter Walker. I think that he’s frustrated by getting blue ballalled in his last matchup by Mo Usman. Mo Usman failed his PED test like a day and a half out from the event. So, I know that Walter Walker has been wanting to get in there and show more of his skills fight again. So, he’s going to be taking this very seriously. The change in opponent doesn’t really mean anything to him. I know. I’m just excited to see if he’s been talking crap or if he actually is really about this whole heel hook thing. It doesn’t seem like just a bit. His entire Instagram feed, I told you I followed him. It’s just AI generated art of him holding dismembered human feet and it’s the funniest thing ever. So, I need to see another heel hook here. I think it’s going to happen in round one as well. And I will feel so vindicated if that’s the way this one goes. Abdullah Alawadi versus Matteus Camilillo. Matteus Camilillo unlucky mate. He fought Gabe Green in his debut. And Gabe Green, he was supposed to be easy pickings, at least at welterweight he is, but I mean he cut down the lightweight. He had the strength of a 170 and some UFC experience that Matteos Camila did not share in having. Matteas Camilo was winning this fight in the early going of his match with Gabe Green, but he burned himself out. He prioritized submission over position. He ended up folding his opportunity to control through one round and then ended up making himself super tired and trying to finish the fight with subs. And what this led to was him ultimately getting subbed by Gabe Green who kept his composure and survived. But Camilo, he’s a guy who trains at Extreme Couture. I see him in all of their content as well in the background on the mats or he’s actually training with some of the athletes too. I also follow this jiu-jitsu guy named Kylo O’Hare. That’s a guy who’s always hanging out with WingC. He like hits emotes after he wins his MMA fights. Like that’s like his thing. He’s like the emoting fighter. Yeah. He was wrestling with Matteos Camilo and he was talking about how he was getting crushed by Matteos on the match and he was showing some of the videos as well. This guy’s a very high level of grappler and I think that he can make it work for MMA. He just got to chill out and pace himself a little bit better through these fights. Abdul Alawadi though, he beat George Harwick on the contender series. Got a UFC contract, fought this guy from Tajjikhstan, Loick Radzabov, and he got absolutely crushed and thrown into the win in this fight and he didn’t look like much of anything in this one. George Harwick made this dude look like a proper like prospect, maybe even a potential contender with a few more wins. And then and then Loick Radob just absolutely dominated this man and knocked him out bad. This was like a crazy stoppage, too, where the guy just got beat up for entirely too long. The ref let him just hang in there and just take a bunch of damage. Who’s to say he doesn’t come out and put on a really good performance, though, since it has been three canceled matchups and this loss since he’s last competed in the UFC octagon. So, I know he’s going to be wanting to get it back in blood. We’ll see how he does against Matteos Camillo. I’m actually going to invest my belief and hope into Matteos Camilo actually producing a win one final time here. If he makes me look like a goober, I will not pick him again. I’m going to be putting my trust in the 24year-old who did not get folded brutally in his last fight. Matteos Camilillo will win be round two TKO. After failing in his debut, he was only signed on to a one fight contract. I think that Matteos Camilo went down to the regional scene and then he fought with that guy who asked for a UFC contract as like a journalist and then he was like Dway was like come over here. We’re going to talk and I think that he didn’t end up getting a contract and he fought Matteo Camilo and I think he got knocked out. So I’m going to predict that Matteos Camila wins your round two TKO in this one against Abdul Alawadi. Next we have Matteus Reski versus Ludovic Klein Poo versus Pee. This is the highest level of opponent that each fighter can beat each other and this is a very winnable fight for each of them. I’d give the edge and grappling to Matteos Reski but but both of these guys do display breakdowns in terms of striking defense. I’d give the edge in striking to Ludovvic Klein, but it’s very narrow and he’s no stranger to getting out wrestled by Polish dudes as he’s last displayed in his fight against Mattush Gamer, which he’s coming off of. But at the same time, it’s not like Ludovvic Klein wasn’t getting outruck by Roosevelt Roberts and had to rely on his wrestling to get that fight done. And he only won by decision in that one as well. I mean, Matteos Rebecki, he was able to finish the fight, but again, he didn’t really even look that good against Roosevelt Roberts either. So weird, man. So weird. There’s like a two and a half month turnaround for Matteos Rebeski as well after he looked like he got hit by a bus against Chris Duncan. He always takes crazy damage. This is going to be a certified CTE classic between the two of these fighters because they do not move their head or raise their guard to defend from strikes. They just eat punches with their foreheads. I think that I’m going to have Rebeski winning this fight though just because he’s displayed more grit. And I know that I had said that Ludovic Klein has the advantage in striking, but in terms of raw power, that’s going to go to Matarius Rebeski. And I think that they’re going to be 50/50ing so much in this fight that it’s going to come down to who is hitting harder in these exchanges to win them. It’s not going to come down to technique. It’s just going to come down to who’s winging bigger punches and who’s catching who with the better shots. And I think that’s going to be Matte Rescue the whole way through. If he does want to switch tempo to wrestle though, I think he’ll be free to do that as well. I think that’s going to make it so that he at least wins the decision. I want to see a stoppage out of this fight though. I want to see these guys take some damage. This could backfire for Matage since his turnaround is quite short, but I think that we can trust him to win this one. He beat Oral by CDF beat him, but I mean Carlos Diego Ferah. There’s definitely like worse strikers in this weight class and I think that Ludova Klein is a worse striker than Carlos Diego Ferah. So yeah, we’re going to ride with Matteas Rebecki here. He’s going to win be around 2 KO. Next we have Icram Maliskov versus Junyong Park at middleweight. I think that Maliskov is going to submit Junyong Park because Junyong Park he lost to Andre Munice. He didn’t look very formidable at all in that fight. Historically, Park has lost to grapplers who can’t strike. And he’s put on some pretty closely contested decision fights, winning narrowly against the worst of the worst at 185. I mean, I think that Junyong Park could win this fight. It’s just that he doesn’t. Jun Park has split decision wins over Eric Anders against Brad Tvaris and he lost to Andre Munice in 2023 and that was his last loss and Munice is no longer even in the UFC. And I is the guy who stopped Munice in his last outing. That wasn’t the last fight that Mun’s had in the UFC before he got cut. I think that was against Edmond Shabbazian. But let’s go off. He requires a fast hand to KO. If you want to knock him out, you got to have some really fast response time or just a quick hand in order to beat him. And Jung Park is about as slow twitch as they come on the feet. He won’t have the advantage of being the stronger fighter over Icramis or the better striker as well to be able to knock him out. He won’t be the better wrestler in order to pull off a decision here. I could totally see him getting tied up on the ground and submitted by Ireiskov. So that’s why I’m going to go with a round two sub for Icrim. This is going to be the top of the prelims here. Nazarat Hackpass versus Quillin Sakild. I first saw this match up and I was like, yo, Nazarat Hackprass is about to dub here because he would have totally knocked out Estabbon Rubic if Rubic didn’t have a granite jaw. But once upon a time, Nazarat Hackpr was freely wrestled by Dan Hooker. And this was after Dan Hooker had come off of losses to Arnold Allen and Michael Chandler and needed to start preserving his brain if he wanted to have like he couldn’t just go out and have Estabbon Rivic versus Nazareth Hackpass against Nazareth Hack Pass whenever he fought him. So he took the path of least resistance which was in the wrestling and he was able to win soundly that way. Quillin Sakild is a wrestler and he’s a good display of what type of grappling they do have to offer out of Australia. I don’t think that Nazareth hacks would have any difficulty winning a stand-up battle against Quillin Sakil if the wrestling wasn’t such a clear path to victory for him. Sakil demonstrated some competency on the feet, but largely he was able to beat a fighter like Inal Ash moves with his grappling that is a good wrestler for this weight class certified. Nazarat Hackpra is not the best wrestler and he’s always had that as a glaring weakness that he can’t really grapple too well. Quillin does have a nice right hand on him, but he’s only stopped Ancho Jubilee with it. So, it doesn’t really count too much, but I think that we can all safely vest hope in Aquillin saw killed, getting to a buddy lock, getting to a clinch, advancing that position to get the fight to the ground, and notching like double digit control time in this fight. If he really just wants to come out and sniff, I think he’ll win a decision super easily. I don’t think that the opportunity to submit Nazare across will be there per se, but I think that the opportunity to control him through 15 minutes will for sure be there. So, that’s what I’m going to go with. Sil via Decision here. Now, we’re going to talk about the main card. Surrogana is about to put us on game with the infinite title shot glitch. I don’t know how he does it. This guy is the method. All right. So, to get us going on this card, we have Alexander Rock versus Azimat Makonov. Mzakonov is a guy who’s been caught for using steroids. He’s been banned. He comes back. He fights Brinen Rivero. He knocks out Brinsen River. Now he’s here. I think that he’s still battling ring rust minorly. And I think this is going to play out like Azimat Boya versus Yuzi Belgarui that we just watched last weekend, right? It’s going to be a fight between a guy who has the skills, right, to get on the inside, clinch up, try to initiate takedowns, the striking to finish people at range, but he has to get close, a big clubbing overhand. but he’s going to be fighting a guy with too much range and too much distance management to be able to effectively utilize his weapons and he’s going to tire until he gets finished. I think that I totally see this happening the same way. And even in this fight that we’re going to talk about next, Volkov versus Jatin Almeida, I think that it goes similarly as well. Azimat Makanov isn’t going to have the frame to be able to deal with Alexander Rockic. Alexander Rockic, he can get outgred. We’ve seen it in the Yuri Pashka fight. We’ve seen it in the Maman and Goliath fight as well. But Mamemed and Goliath has been gifted with a better frame than Aszmat Murzakana for fighting opponents like Alexander Rock. Rockic really just needs to stay on the outside and pick away at Azimat Murzakanov and he can totally win this fight. The low kick will be a good weapon for him. The jab and straight punch will be a good weapon for him. Asat Murzakov is undefeated. So I mean path to victory is against a guy who’s never been beaten before. It’s hard to say. So but I think that it’s going to come down to physicality here which is going to make all the difference for Alexander Rockage. I will actually pick him to win this fight. But I mean, he’s skating on thin ice, dude. That six and a half inch reach advantage on a guy who hits like Alexander Rockic does is juicy. And so is that 6 inch height advantage as well as Matt Makonov is going to have to work really hard to close the distance in order to get on the inside and score a knockout. I don’t think that he’s going to be able to do it. I think that Rockic has this one in the bag. It likely will turn into a grindy fight at certain points, but it might not be. It may just be Azimat Murzakanov trying different aspects of his game to win them failing, Alexander Rockic rallying and then scoring a finish from there. That would be glorious, man. And Alexander Rock is due for an epic W. So, I’m going to pick him to win this fight. Asamat Murakanov is a guy that people view as a dark horse of this division. He doesn’t really have that many impressive wins to me. Alexander Rockic has been losing to the best fighters in the division for a while now. Anytime that he’s lost at 205, it’s been to a guy who’s been the best in the world. So, I’m going to pick Rockage to win this fight around 2K KO. Now, we discussed Alexander Volkov versus Jelton Almeida. It’s the blob meta, dude. Alexander Volkov, he definitely toned up a little bit so that he’s not weighing in right at 264 lbs. But what is a 235 lb heavyweight going to do against a guy who’s this large with this much of a height advantage over him? We saw what happened against Blades, man. Jonathan Almeida, he needs to put on some weight. There has to be some type of mass behind these wrestling attempts in order for them to be successful in this weight class or else he’s just going to fail them and get stuck on the outside or get caught coming in by a guy who just is ready to brace and shuck him off whenever he goes for takedowns. It makes me nervous though for the fact that Sirro Gan was able to take down Volkov with a broken foot and that guy’s not even a grappler like that. I don’t think that Jonathan Almeida is going to be able to replicate the same thing though. Ameda is just in this purgatory, right, where he’s just too muscular to be a 205, but he’s not large enough to be a heavyweight. And this is about as big of a heavyweight fighter that you can be match made with an Alexander Volkov. I don’t think that he’s going to have any success in any of his pathways to victory. He’s not going to be able to outstrike Volkov at range. I think he’s going to be getting tormented with front kicks, with low kicks, with straight punches at distance. Volkov is just going to be able to snipe this guy. and Almeida is just going to be shaking his head and getting frustrated trying to get on the inside to get to a single leg or a double leg or to a clinch up against the cage. If he does get the fight there, then we’ve even seen that he has a hard time finishing against larger fighters for this heavyweight division. And again, Volkov is about as big as they come for 265. I don’t think this one is going to go well for him. This guy is not Sergey Speedbach. Volkov, for all intents and purposes, right now is like the third best heavyweight. I would say that it goes Aspenol gone Vulov and then Almeida and the distance between Vulov and Almeida on this power rankings. I think that there’s like kind of a steep cliff between the two of them and I think that will be displayed in the fact that Volkov will get a first round KO in this fight. Umar and Nagamedov versus Mario Batista at bantamweight. I want to see there be another American title challenger for the belt against Morab, but it’s really just like it doesn’t matter, man. It really doesn’t matter if Mario Batista were to win this fight. Unless he’s completely transformed himself. The skill set that he’s demonstrated to us up until this point does not beat Morab. Umar got close, but he just suffered a hand injury. So, I think that I’m going to put more prevalence into that as far as him returning to the title to get an opportunity to challenge for it again than another guy coming up and beating Umar. Umar was able to soundly dismantle Cory Sanhagen, which was the last title challenger. That’s really his only accomplishment before this. Maybe Beexad Alicon will turn into a better aging win as time progresses. That’s very possible. But Umar Namagamedov, it’s him or nobody at 135. At this point, that’s like the last test for Morav is to beat Umar Magamed off twice after beating Yan twice and then he fights Pantoia or he goes up to 145. And we all know it, man. People are only picking Mario Batista to beat Contrarian. I think that Mario Batista is a good fighter. I don’t think that he beats Umar Naga Medov. Umar will have Hhabib with him this time. That’s going to make a huge difference. I think that this is going to be a fight that goes to decision because of the styles. I just don’t see Umar Mongomedov losing this fight in any universe. He could even potentially finish, but I’m just not going to predict that that will happen. I think that he will soundly get a decision victory over Mario Batista here. His last loss, I’m not going to go as far to say it was a fluke just because Morab is that good. But it’s an entirely different fight if he doesn’t hurt his hand. He will be healthy here. I think he beats Mario Batista no problem. this fight, man. Whenever this got announced, I was like, “Dude, what we doing, man?” I guess they have to have a champion at strawweight since Valentina Chevchenko is going to fight with Jean Lee, and that’ll be for the 125 pound belt. These women have already fought before. Verna Janera has literally lost to Mackenzie Dur. I think that Dur could potentially win a decision here, but I’m kind of fighting myself right now to not select Bernardoba to beat Mackenzie Dur in the rematch cuz we’ve seen before just because the fight happens one way like 5 years ago. It doesn’t go the same way again. And Bernardo for all intents and purposes has been looking a little bit better than Mackenzie Dur, but this is going to be a grappler for grappler matchup. And I still think that Mackenzie Duran was better at jiu-jitsu than Bernard Janero 5 years ago and she’s still going to be better than her in 2025. So as long as she doesn’t get knocked out, which I mean all times that Mackenzie Dur gets dropped, there are opportunities for her to initiate the grappling, which would put her head in the fight. Then she wins a decision. I think that it’s probably split. Maybe it’s a close fight that people are going to be like, “Oh, wow. That was a close fight, but I don’t care.” And then we just move on to the main event. I’m not expecting much from this matchup, dude. just because like we all want to see Tom Aspenol versus serial gone at this point and this is just kind of something to do in the interim of waiting for that to go down for those guys to walk out and for us to be able to watch that fight. I’m going to select Mackenzie Dur to win a decision like she did all those years ago. I’m selecting this on pretty low confidence, but in 5 years, Verna Robba has aged towards the end of her prime and Mackenzie Dur is arguably just now entering hers at 32. So, I think it’s going to be her time to hold the belt in this weight class, which is funny because I mean, she’s only off of two wins. But whenever you look at the lack of depth at women’s straw weight, this kind of makes the most sense. So, I’m going to select Mackenzie during the win be 25 minutes stinky. All right, so here’s the deal with this, man. If Tom Aspenol doesn’t win this fight in the round one by knocking out Sir Garner, submitting him, then like I I mean, I don’t know. We spend so much time talking about how good this guy is and if he actually has a close fight with Serial Garner, god forbid he loses the fight. What do we even do with him? Is that your champion still? Is that going to be Is that going to be our heavyweight goat? The guy who went life and death with serial gone after two dudes beat him super easily? Francisanu with a completely obliterated knee? And then Jon Jones without even breaking a sweat. This feels like we’re about to play the last mission of a video game because after this there’s literally nothing else for Tom Aspenol to do other than just rematch guys. Maybe beat Gileton Almeida if he ends up winning over Volulov, but there’s literally nothing to do here. Heavyweight is just so bad. Oh my god. And they didn’t push contenders up towards the top of the division in time in order for there to be like another opponent that we’re eyeing after Tom Aspenol does beat Serial Gone if it goes that way. Sir Gone winning isn’t even any better. All that would really do is kind of open things up for maybe Pereira to move up and fight with Sirrogon since it’s a better stylistic matchup. Who knows, man? But that could be on the docket. And that could also be fun, too. But we’ve seen we’ve played these games before. Sirrogon gets a title shot. This is going to be his third title shot in three years, mate. It’s like he just kind of wins by default because nobody else offers the skill set or the frame or the clout that comes with beating serial gun for his past accomplishments and just being who he is. So it’s like it makes the most sense. I wanted to complain about it whenever this fight first got announced, but I don’t think that Tom Aspenol is going to get frauded here, dude. I don’t think he’s going to get fraud checked by serial gun. I don’t think that serial gun is the guy to do it. Nobody in this division does it. if Tom Aspenol is the guy who we all think that he is and who I’ve been told that he was by these yepies in the comment section. So, he’s got to win via round one KO. If he doesn’t, I I I don’t believe in anything anymore. So, yeah, that’s going to be my predictions recap. At the end of the day, I’m only here for a Golden Freddy’s KO. We’re going to keep a count right there. Whenever we do see a Golden Freddy’s KO on one of these cards, there’ll be another suit placed below my head. That’s what I want. I’m pining for one. We’ll say that that one is uh Wesson Wilson versus Yha in Shanghai. That was the last Golden Freddy’s KO that I can even remember. But so yeah, those are going to be all my picks right there. Let me know who you guys have for these fights in the comment section below. Do like, comment, and subscribe if you made it to this point in the video. I will catch you fellas in the next upload. Peace out.
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Time Stamps
00:00 Intro
00:54 Jacqueline Amorim vs Mizuki Inoue
03:50 Azat Maksum vs Mitch Raposo
05:20 Chris Barnett vs Hamdy Abdelwahab
07:07 Jose Miguel Delgado vs Nathaniel Wood
09:38 Valter Walker vs Louie Sutherland
11:31 Abdul Al Selwady vs Matteus Camilo
14:13 Mateusz Rebecki vs Ludoveit Klein
16:15 Ikram Aliskerov vs Jun Yong Park
17:24 Nasrat Haqparast vs Quillan Salkilld
19:03 Aleksandar Rakić vs Azamat Murzakanov
21:39 Alexander Volkov vs Jailton Almeida
23:35 Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista
25:12 Virna Jandiroba vs Mackenzie Dern
27:01 Tom Aspinall vs Ciryl Gane
28:58 Predictions Recap
10 Comments
I was called a casual on an IG Reel I Posted yesterday, I am going to find the guy who left that comment and eat his heart
That thumbnail 😂😂
W ERKLE VOD.
Death, taxes, beewolf mma banger thumbnail
Bro makes excuses for fighters so much. “Oh he was injured” same reason you pulled a Lucas Tracy bro
Diabolical ahh thumbnail. I’m so hyped for these prelims, Delgado vs Wood, Rebecki vs Klein, Haqparast vs Salkilld, Aliskerov vs Park, and Walker vs Sutherland are all bangers
I feel like Rakic vs Murzakonov is gonna be Costa vs Kopylov 2.0
I got Azamat, Almeida, Umar, Virna, Tom
Tommy da chin Aspinall will lose to Gane… Shin to chin KO
Great video, having said that: TOMMY ASPINALL, ASPINALL, TOMMY ASPINALL 🥇 🏴